Before getting to the first +/- table of the season, some words of caution: single-game +/- figures are so “noisy” (i.e., influenced by randomness) that they’re rendered practically useless. Even with a complete season’s worth of data, the +/- metric (especially in this– its unadjusted– form) suffers from this noisiness. Still, when taken in conjunction with the defensive box score, traditional box score, and old-fashioned “eye test,” the single-game +/- can be a part of the total evaluation process. It also serves as a good summary of Roy Williams’s substitution patterns/rotation.
Some definitions:
Pts-Pts All.: the points scored and points allowed by the team during a given player’s minutes
Off Eff: the points scored per 100 possessions with a given player on the court
Def Eff: the points allowed per 100 possessions with a given player on the court
Net Eff: the scoring margin per 100 possessions with a given player on the court
+/- Stats vs. Michigan State
|
| Player |
Minutes |
Pts-Pts All. |
Off Eff |
Def Eff |
Net Eff |
| Hairston |
8.9 |
19-11 |
126.7 |
73.3 |
+53.3 |
| McAdoo |
16.3 |
36-27 |
124.1 |
87.1 |
+37.0 |
| Marshall |
32.8 |
57-41 |
101.8 |
73.2 |
+28.6 |
| Zeller |
30.9 |
52-39 |
100.0 |
76.5 |
+23.5 |
| Strickland |
33.7 |
55-41 |
94.8 |
73.9 |
+20.9 |
| TEAM |
40.0 |
67-55 |
97.1 |
79.7 |
+17.4 |
| Henson |
30.5 |
43-36 |
81.1 |
69.9 |
+11.2 |
| Barnes |
31.6 |
48-44 |
87.3 |
80.0 |
+7.3 |
| Bullock |
11.7 |
19-24 |
90.5 |
106.7 |
-16.2 |
| Hubert/White |
1.3 |
3-4 |
150.0 |
133.3 |
+16.7 |
| Watts |
1.1 |
0-4 |
0.0 |
266.7 |
-266.7 |
| +/- by Backcourt |
| Combo |
Minutes |
Pts-Pts-All. |
| Marshall-Strickland |
27.8 |
48-31 |
| Marshall-Bullock |
4.5 |
9-10 |
| Strickland-Hairston |
3.7 |
7-4 |
| Strickland-Bullock |
2.2 |
0-6 |
| White-Hairston |
1.3 |
3-4 |
| Marshall-Hairston |
0.5 |
0-0 |
| +/- by Frontcourt |
| Henson-Zeller |
22.6 |
31-24 |
| McAdoo-Henson |
7.8 |
12-12 |
| McAdoo-Zeller |
7.2 |
21-11 |
| McAdoo-Hubert |
1.3 |
3-4 |
| Watts-Zeller |
1.1 |
0-4 |
| Most-used Line-ups |
| Marshall-Strickland-Barnes-Henson-Zeller |
22.1 |
31-24 |
| Strickland-Hairston-Bullock-McAdoo-Henson |
3.7 |
7-4 |
| Marshall-Strickland-Hairston-McAdoo-Zeller |
3.0 |
9-3 |
| Marshall-Strickland-Barnes-McAdoo-Zeller |
2.4 |
8-4 |
When Bullock and Hairston were paired together on the wings, I called Hairston the 2 and Bullock the 3. Continue reading →